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Crisis And Embodied Innovations: Fluctuating Trend vs Fluctuations Around Trend, the Real vs the Financial, Variety vs Average by Volodymyr Ryaboshlyk
English | 2014 | ISBN: 1137477067 | 216 pages | PDF | 0,9 MB

A curious thought that the innovations embodied in machinery and other fixed capital, besides growth, also drive recession has received a solid confirmation. From now on, output and employment decline and subsequent jobless recovery can be forecasted in explicit terms of figures and timing rather than of probabilities and possibilities of crisis onset; the short and long runs having been integrated together at that. For these reasons many traditional simplified theories are challenged and it is proposed a Constructive Framework capable to catch turning points in the economy instead of mere extrapolations and trends. The policy implication is that crises are unavoidable, but they are quite predictable and their depth is manageable.
In addition to this, the classical and neoclassical views on how an innovative economy works and fluctuates are converged and reconciled. As it has turned out, general equilibrium is not altogether general – objective marginalism suppresses a subjective one – the Keynesian easy money is a paradoxical example of doing the right thing for the wrong reason; and financial bubbles are pricked by real structural changes, not the other way around.
This book gives an impetus for development of economic science for another 100 years and provides a fresh perspective on crises and innovation, making it indispensable reading for scholars, researchers, policy-makers and professionals.

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